Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.016124 0.020121 0.025348 0.032899 0.043920 0.060120 0.087256
2025-01-26 0.012192 0.016856 0.023971 0.036438 0.059882 0.108100 0.240101
2025-02-02 0.010239 0.015127 0.023403 0.040120 0.078864 0.189255 0.756032
2025-02-09 0.008578 0.013222 0.021638 0.040413 0.091446 0.285514 2.473667
2025-02-16 0.007434 0.011848 0.020300 0.040800 0.105214 0.436750 15.007058
2025-02-23 0.006552 0.010723 0.019075 0.040811 0.118617 0.668011 1843.927874
2025-03-02 0.005703 0.009488 0.017283 0.038516 0.121583 0.872409 NaN
2025-03-09 0.005106 0.008636 0.016116 0.037475 0.129487 1.258213 NaN
2025-03-16 0.004725 0.008147 0.015646 0.038321 0.148816 2.314694 NaN
2025-03-23 0.004369 0.007654 0.015052 0.038533 0.166300 4.414471 NaN
2025-03-30 0.003962 0.006997 0.013930 0.036503 0.166997 6.354047 NaN
2025-04-06 0.003653 0.006510 0.013148 0.035418 0.173961 11.252982 NaN
2025-04-13 0.003470 0.006314 0.013171 0.037826 0.221517 136.184737 NaN
2025-04-20 0.003352 0.006249 0.013551 0.042144 0.314708 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 0.003237 0.006171 0.013877 0.046659 0.456325 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 0.003030 0.005844 0.013397 0.047019 0.542131 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 0.002850 0.005558 0.012978 0.047496 0.651673 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 0.002682 0.005277 0.012518 0.047509 0.767344 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 0.002480 0.004892 0.011655 0.044688 0.757370 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 0.002326 0.004613 0.011087 0.043413 0.815081 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 0.002226 0.004458 0.010899 0.044448 1.032465 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 0.002123 0.004284 0.010613 0.044708 1.250104 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 0.001989 0.004018 0.009973 0.042225 1.216417 NaN NaN